The Biden campaign has been running polls and focus groups for weeks, and the message has been clear: a felony conviction is a turn-off and a dealbreaker for some meaningful number of voters
To me these polls were NOT important because of the swing to Biden. They were important due to the swing in important issues. To 68% of those surveyed the most important issue was “the Preservation of Democracy”. This tells me that people are taking the totally insane Trump ranting seriously and all Biden really has to do is let Trump be Trump. Trump can’t win losing independents.
In the moment, sure. We’ll see how much people care about his conviction when its four months in the rear view mirror and “Hunter Biden Newest Dick Picks” bombard the latest media cycle.
But maybe - just maybe - the Dems will see prosecuting high ranking conservative crooks as a boon rather than a hazard as they run into the next election cycle. Maybe someone will have the bright idea to bring federal charges against Ken Paxton or Ron DeSantis or even Elon Musk.
Or maybe not. Maybe we’ll just scratch Trump off as “Uniquely Prosecutable” and never do this again.
Polls illustrate popular sentiment in the moment and give a picture of changing ideological trends over time. This informs people about likely possible futures and assists in long-term decision making.
The Biden campaign has been running polls and focus groups for weeks, and the message has been clear: a felony conviction is a turn-off and a dealbreaker for some meaningful number of voters
Yeah, but enough of a turn-off that they will actively vote for Biden when the time comes, and not just sit it out or cast a third party protest vote?
To me these polls were NOT important because of the swing to Biden. They were important due to the swing in important issues. To 68% of those surveyed the most important issue was “the Preservation of Democracy”. This tells me that people are taking the totally insane Trump ranting seriously and all Biden really has to do is let Trump be Trump. Trump can’t win losing independents.
In the moment, sure. We’ll see how much people care about his conviction when its four months in the rear view mirror and “Hunter Biden Newest Dick Picks” bombard the latest media cycle.
But maybe - just maybe - the Dems will see prosecuting high ranking conservative crooks as a boon rather than a hazard as they run into the next election cycle. Maybe someone will have the bright idea to bring federal charges against Ken Paxton or Ron DeSantis or even Elon Musk.
Or maybe not. Maybe we’ll just scratch Trump off as “Uniquely Prosecutable” and never do this again.
Polls don’t predict the future. They are a photo of the time they were taken.
Polls illustrate popular sentiment in the moment and give a picture of changing ideological trends over time. This informs people about likely possible futures and assists in long-term decision making.