It’s a long article, but the general point is the United States, while flawed, is very important for maintaining the current world order and preventing despots (such as Putin) from engaging in further wars of conquest.

Trump, being who he is, is the type of President who would enable this sort of situation to occur; he is a populist, protectionist, and isolationist who also hates immigrants.

It’s a lengthy article. Here is the archived link for those interested.

Thoughts on this? I am a big proponent of nuclear energy, not just because it creates a lot of energy but because it represents a way we can combat the climate crisis.

However, geothermal energy takes advantage of the energy that’s already in the Earth; the trick is accessing it, which the article suggests may soon be a viable option to broadly generate energy without generating greenhouse gases.

Here is the archive link for those interested.

With the last eight years as context, I don’t think Trump will lose any supporters over his performance last night against Kamala Harris.

However, after watching that debate in June, I can say this one left me feeling much better. Trump was easily baited into saying ridiculous shit, such as immigrants are “coming to eat all the pets,” that there are ongoing free transgender reassignment surgeries on illegal aliens in prisons, admitted he negotiated with terrorists by bypassing the Afghan government to directly negotiate with the Taliban, wasted time defending his rallies after Harris is pointed out people were leaving them early because they were “bored,” and defended the consequences of Roe versus Wade being overturned by saying “This is what everybody wanted.”

In my opinion, Kamala Harris set the tone of this debate at the very start when she crossed the stage to force Donald Trump to shake her hand.

Here is the archived link for those interested.

It said that in seats won by the Lib Dems “voters would explain that they were voting Lib Dem in these traditionally Tory strongholds because Ed Davey’s party just seemed more ‘normal’”.

Yes.

Archived version for those who want to read the article.

Democrats are good the economy. Republican are bad for the economy.

It’s amazing that republicans have managed to convince so many people otherwise.

$10 a month. I plan to cancel after the election.

Personally, Morris’ model at 538 had such a questionable take on Biden vs Trump it shook my faith in it. I still think it’s good as a polling aggregator, and its tools (such as the interactive map) are pretty solid, but I decided that $10 per month was acceptable to get access to a model I think has a more realistic take on the election.

538’s new model is untested, and for all I know it could be accurate. However, it still has some takes I find extremely unlikely.

Nate Silver’s model (in my opinion) paints a more realistic picture of what to expect; despite Harris’s qualifications and Democrats extremely high enthusiasm, it remains an uphill battle because of the electoral college.

This is what Nate Silver’s Silver Bulletin has right now.

As always with polling predictions, it’s a big if. So, if the elections were to happen right now and Nate Silver’s model is completely accurate (it’s obviously not; no model is) then the results would be 303 Kamala Harris to 235 Donald Trump.

Screw Kari Lake. She’s an election denier.

“You’re going to have a hard time believing this, but so help me, I triple-checked it,” [Bill] Clinton began. “Since the end of the Cold War in 1989, America has created about 51 million new jobs. I swear I checked this three times. Even I couldn’t believe it. What’s the score? Democrats 50, Republicans one.”

Perhaps the greatest con the republican party ever pulled off was the notion that they are better for the economy than democrats.

Here is the archived version for those who want to read the article.

Reframing Trump’s proposed tariffs as a Trump Tax is a great move and will hopefully help everyday people realize that they’ll be paying more if Trump wins.

It’s basically a tax on everyone, especially the middle class and the poor class.

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Alright, now that 538 is back online, do we have any takes as to how accurate we think it is?

Is it spot on or reasonable? Or, is it still ridiculously wrong the way it was prior to Biden dropping?

Some notable lines:

“With this election, our nation has a precious, fleeting opportunity to move past the bitterness, cynicism and divisive battles of the past. A chance to chart a new way forward,” Ms Harris told a cheering arena filled with American flags and signs bearing her name. “I promise to be a president for all Americans.”

[…]

[…] “We are not going back.” Mostly, she struck an optimistic tone, in keeping with the festive energy of the night. […]

[…]

The speech shed some light on how Ms Harris is approaching the final ten weeks of the campaign. She referred to Hamas as “a terrorist organisation” and said she “will always stand up for Israel’s right to defend itself”. Yet she also described conditions in Gaza as “devastating”. Her solution, aimed at satisfying competing members of her coalition, was unsurprising: “Now is the time to get a hostage deal and ceasefire done.” Ms Harris is aiming to unite her party—from coastal leftists to midwestern moderates—while remaining as acceptable as possible to Trump-sceptical independents and Republicans. The policy portions of the speech were clearly designed to maximise political effect rather than lay out a detailed agenda. She spoke in defence of abortion rights and government-run pension programmes, while vaguely promising to “end America’s housing shortage” without explaining how.

[…] “I know we can live up to our proud heritage as a nation of immigrants—and reform our broken immigration system,” she said. “We can create an earned pathway to citizenship—and secure our border.”

[…] “But the consequences of putting Donald Trump back in the White House are extremely serious.” She warned of his “explicit intent” to imprison journalists and political opponents.

Democrats leaving the convention hall in Chicago were as enthusiastic as Republicans were at their own gathering in Milwaukee in July. Yet much can change in the coming weeks. The Trump campaign certainly hopes that the convention will be the peak of Ms Harris’s popularity, and may be betting that an imminent endorsement from Robert F. Kennedy junior […]

This article is mostly a critique of her speech (a great speech, in my opinion).

However, she has elaborated more on her policies elsewhere. For example, Harris wants to build 3 million new homes to help lower housing costs, was an early advocate for a ceasefire between Israel and Gaza, and has proposed making new pathways to improve and fix America’s immigration system.