Then nothing matters because the bombshell pictures proving child sexual assault could always drop. An October surprise is called that for a reason. It’s something out of left field that could not have been predicted, prepared for, or recovered from. To say prediction models must allow for that means you never get anything other than a 50/50 prediction and everything is useless. We should all just stay home and let life come at us. After all, we could get hit by a toilet from space at any moment.
Yeah well there was also that nice October surprise. Prediction models don’t work well with stuff like that.
And yet, that is what those models claim to do. If the possibility of late-breaking events is not included in the model then the model is flawed.
Then nothing matters because the bombshell pictures proving child sexual assault could always drop. An October surprise is called that for a reason. It’s something out of left field that could not have been predicted, prepared for, or recovered from. To say prediction models must allow for that means you never get anything other than a 50/50 prediction and everything is useless. We should all just stay home and let life come at us. After all, we could get hit by a toilet from space at any moment.